Revisiting My Honors Thesis: Light Rail and Property Values
In undergrad I wrote a thesis estimating the effect of Sound Transit’s Link light rail on King County property values. I used synthetic control, got a positi...
I’ve climbed many more things since this
Hi! I’m Sean
Primary Directive: Predict the future
I’m an economist for a municipal forecasting office, focusing on economic and revenue forecasts. I use R, EViews, and fancy data visualisations to relay complex modeling insights to key decision makers.
The Residuals
Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM: Macro Conditioning, Three Tracks, and the 2026 April Forecast
Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments, but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assessed...
Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years
An interactive look at how Seattle's ten largest major office parcels shed roughly $3 billion in appraised assessed value between 2019 and 2026.
Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data
How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...