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ARDL

A collection of 1 Post

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read

LightGBM

A collection of 1 Post

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

R

A collection of 1 Post

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

Seattle

A collection of 1 Post

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read

VECM

A collection of 1 Post

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read

assessed-value

A collection of 1 Post

assessed-value major-office king-county data-visualization

Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years

An interactive look at how Seattle's ten largest major office parcels shed roughly $3 billion in appraised assessed value between 2019 and 2026.

07 Apr, 2026
2 min read

data-visualization

A collection of 1 Post

assessed-value major-office king-county data-visualization

Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years

An interactive look at how Seattle's ten largest major office parcels shed roughly $3 billion in appraised assessed value between 2019 and 2026.

07 Apr, 2026
2 min read

econometrics

A collection of 1 Post

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read

forecasting

A collection of 2 Posts

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read
machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

housing

A collection of 1 Post

econometrics housing forecasting Seattle ARDL VECM

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

How do you build a credible multi-year forecast for a metropolitan housing market that went through a once-in-a-generation structural shock? That’s the quest...

03 Mar, 2026
8 min read

king-county

A collection of 1 Post

assessed-value major-office king-county data-visualization

Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years

An interactive look at how Seattle's ten largest major office parcels shed roughly $3 billion in appraised assessed value between 2019 and 2026.

07 Apr, 2026
2 min read

machine learning

A collection of 1 Post

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

major-office

A collection of 1 Post

assessed-value major-office king-county data-visualization

Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years

An interactive look at how Seattle's ten largest major office parcels shed roughly $3 billion in appraised assessed value between 2019 and 2026.

07 Apr, 2026
2 min read

panel data

A collection of 1 Post

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

property tax

A collection of 1 Post

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

Property tax revenue is one of the most stable and significant funding streams for municipal governments — but “stable” doesn’t mean easy to predict. Assesse...

01 Mar, 2026
6 min read

Topics

machine learning LightGBM R forecasting property tax panel data econometrics housing Seattle ARDL VECM assessed-value major-office king-county data-visualization

Sean David Thompson

A website of random noise, and the meaning behind it. Here, I share ideas, tools, and methods of forecasting techniques and lessons from work. Dive in, get inspired, and feel free to share your thoughts!

Recent Posts

Seattle's Biggest Office Buildings Lost Half Their Assessed Value in Three Years

07 Apr, 2026

Forecasting Seattle's Housing Market: An Econometric Approach Using NWMLS Data

03 Mar, 2026

Forecasting Seattle Property Assessed Values with LightGBM

01 Mar, 2026

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